Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 11.369942 12.753541 14.279448 16.094151 18.202526 20.585706 23.498603
2025-10-26 9.699202 11.551354 13.753082 16.589666 20.185515 24.643859 30.671845
2025-11-02 8.447181 10.460020 12.973897 16.392571 20.996589 27.094694 35.977651
2025-11-09 7.516834 9.594910 12.293020 16.124617 21.546123 29.134117 40.916172
2025-11-16 6.825780 8.937974 11.772050 15.949393 22.120999 31.193623 46.124693
2025-11-23 6.191679 8.281284 11.163170 15.547020 22.268489 32.582313 50.459110
2025-11-30 5.752370 7.846836 10.810646 15.455615 22.835208 34.641278 56.183969
2025-12-07 5.234681 7.252877 10.167747 14.846793 22.498405 35.167518 59.302554
2025-12-14 4.746679 6.663490 9.480109 14.094570 21.830168 35.026414 61.138933
2025-12-21 4.426810 6.299871 9.102313 13.793271 21.867401 36.090345 65.425145
2025-12-28 4.520116 6.565402 9.709693 15.147483 24.894501 42.945346 82.710677
2026-01-04 4.386722 6.467339 9.730254 15.511412 26.194277 46.747605 94.409795
2026-01-11 4.092964 6.105477 9.311643 15.102842 26.069633 47.834998 100.499207
2026-01-18 3.985073 6.035596 9.369867 15.546706 27.629568 52.630602 116.740632
2026-01-25 3.775734 5.784319 9.101292 15.365591 27.929306 54.783640 126.896073
2026-02-01 3.574049 5.532552 8.812754 15.118139 28.059981 56.576692 136.587762
2026-02-08 3.403373 5.322336 8.581219 14.956315 28.346721 58.771258 148.063129
2026-02-15 3.214213 5.069424 8.256809 14.584579 28.138062 59.752604 156.235446
2026-02-22 3.082268 4.907868 8.085570 14.500108 28.548971 62.324245 170.216467
2026-03-01 2.891894 4.634041 7.693000 13.937242 27.820389 61.891277 174.214225
2026-03-08 2.696094 4.341669 7.250750 13.241214 26.718587 60.336740 173.996353
2026-03-15 2.569592 4.166908 7.017933 12.962238 26.563456 61.294068 183.095937
2026-03-22 2.647853 4.363502 7.494682 14.215287 30.217385 73.430903 239.185941